Vancouver attracting buyers from China

Bloomberg News
Vancouver's Royal Pacific Realty had such a surge of business during the first two weeks of February that employees worked day and night shifts to find homes for Chinese buyers visiting the Canadian city for the Lunar New Year.
"It was unprecedented," said CEO David Choi. "I called them sleepwalkers."
Sales of detached homes, town houses and condominiums in metropolitan Vancouver jumped 70 percent in February from January, to 3,097 units from 1,819, and were up 25 percent from a year earlier, according to the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver.
In March, sales climbed 32 percent from February, to just shy of a record for the month of 4,371 transactions set in 2004. Sales increased by 80 percent from two years ago.
Buyers from mainland China are leading a wave of Asian investment in Vancouver as China tries to damp real-estate speculation at home.
Good schools, a moderate climate and the large, established Asian community as a result of Canada's liberal immigration policy make Vancouver attractive, said Cathy Gong, who moved from Shanghai to the Shaughnessy neighborhood about three years ago.
"The schools here are the best and there are a lot of Chinese people here," said Gong, whose son is in sixth-grade. Eastern Canada wasn't an option because "I cannot bear cold weather," Gong said.
Vancouver has the second-largest immigrant Chinese population in Canada after Toronto.
China, where home prices rose 28 percent in Beijing and 26 percent in Shanghai last year, according to the country's biggest real-estate website owner, SouFun Holdings, has taken steps to curb property speculation.
Chinese home prices gained for 19 straight months through December and climbed in almost all 70 cities tracked by the government during the first quarter.
Premier Wen Jiabao placed curbs on mortgage lending, boosted down-payment requirements and limited the number of purchases.
"As the Chinese get more and more prosperous, they are diversifying their assets out of China," said Jim Rogers, an American investor. "Vancouver is very high on the list."
In 2010, Vancouver had the third-highest housing costs among English-speaking cities worldwide, according to Canada's Frontier Centre for Public Policy. Only Hong Kong and Sydney, another magnet of Asian immigration, were more expensive.
Vancouver's median home price of $602,000 Canadian ($618,000 in U.S. dollars) was 9.5 times the annual median household income of $63,100, the group said in a study released Jan. 24. Canada had a 4.6 national multiple, making it "seriously unaffordable," while the U.S. at 3.3 was "moderately unaffordable," the study showed. To be affordable, the multiple must be 3 or less.
Vancouver was more expensive than San Francisco, London and New York by that measure, the center said.
"This makes it all the more difficult for people who are already struggling to get into the market or businesses who can't hire people to come here because of the high housing prices," said Peter Ladner, a former Vancouver city councilor and a columnist for the Business in Vancouver weekly newspaper.
Unlike London or New York, "we don't have enough jobs with high incomes to justify" the home prices, said Ladner.
Cecilia Huang, a Canada resident since 2003, also is concerned about rising prices.
"I hope the government can do something to control the price" so younger generations can buy, said Huang, who paid almost $1 million Canadian for a condo in the Kitsilano neighborhood two months ago so her daughter, now 6, could attend school nearby.
"Pretty incredible"
Mainland Chinese are buying houses primarily in Vancouver's westside, boosting the median sales price to $2 million Canadian in the district known for its wide boulevards, beaches, expansive parks and stucco Tudor mansions. Prime westside neighborhoods include Point Grey, Shaughnessy and Dunbar. The University of British Columbia is in the area.
"Our office has done 50 sales this year, which is pretty incredible," said Vancouver Realtor Tom Gradecak at his office in Point Grey, where he has one colleague who speaks Mandarin and Cantonese and is hiring a second. "Half of those sales are from mainland China."
One Chinese buyer paid $1.7 million in March for a five-bedroom, three-bath house that the previous owners had completely renovated in 2003, $150,000 more than the asking price, said Gradecak. The buyer plans to tear it down and build anew.
"There's more value in the land," Gradecak said. "We're seeing a lot of empty-nesters cashing out."
Many houses were built in the 1940s and '50s and have outdated electrical systems and plumbing and are "much smaller" than allowed today, said Vancouver architect Loy Leyland. As buyers prefer to demolish old houses than renovate, new homes for Asian clients make up two-thirds of his more than 30 current projects.
"I've never been busier," Leyland said.
Leyland's clients usually stick to traditional styles such as Villa or Georgian for exteriors. Inside, designs are changing. Every new house has two kitchens: a large Western-style one and a small "wok" kitchen with a stove, sink, strong exhaust fan and door to seal off cooking aromas, said Leyland.
Some buyers acquire multiple homes, one to live in and others for investment, said Chung, the broker. Her clients made their money in a variety of businesses, she said, including mining, stainless steel manufacturing and real estate. About 10 percent of them speak English, she said.
The westside had the biggest five-year gain of all 15 areas in greater Vancouver, according to the Real Estate Board. Westside home prices rose 77 percent during the past five years through April amid the housing collapse in the U.S.
In 2010, the average home price in greater Vancouver rose 14 percent from 2009, according to the Real Estate Board. Excluding the three most expensive areas — the westside, Richmond and West Vancouver — the average price gained 8 percent. The three priciest areas usually account for about one-third of annual home sales in greater Vancouver.
The current group of Chinese homebuyers is the third "wave" from Asia since 1990, after Taiwanese and Hong Kong immigration, said Manyee Lui, a veteran Vancouver real-estate broker. "People from mainland China are the new immigrants," Lui said.
Vancouver's Expo '86 was pivotal in the city's growth. In 1988, the Expo site downtown on the shore of False Creek was acquired by Concord Pacific Developments, with investors led by Hong Kong billionaire Li Ka-shing. The group developed high-rise condos and sold them in Asia during the early 1990s.
Concord Pacific Place today is Canada's biggest master-planned urban community, with about 50 buildings of 10,000 homes, parks, a school and day-care centers.
"That was like turning on a switch; it's OK to invest in Vancouver because Li Ka-shing did," said Peter Cowley, director of school performance studies at the Fraser Institute, which grades schools in Canada on academic performance. Chinese immigrants routinely check the institute's website to decide where to buy homes.
Migration to Vancouver also was spurred by the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre and a flight from Hong Kong in the years before its return to Chinese rule from British sovereignty in 1997.
Vancouver home prices dropped when some people returned to Hong Kong after the handover.
British Columbia gets about 55 percent of Canada's investor-class immigrants, people who have a minimum net worth of $1.6 million Canadian, said Cameron Muir, chief economist of the British Columbia Real Estate Association.
The province drew a total 3,779 investor-class immigrants from China last year, or 69 percent of all investors moving to British Columbia, said Muir.
Starting about 18 months ago, so many homeowners applied to change the last two digits of their addresses to remove or shift the number 4, which in Chinese sounds like the word for death, or add the numeral 8, which is considered lucky, that Vancouver began turning down some requests, said Bonnie Lee, addressing coordinator for the city.
"We used to do eight or nine a month, but in March we did 25," said Lee. "A lot of it is cultural. A lot of it is just people trying to change it before they list because agents are telling them to."
It's not just the Chinese who are shopping for homes, said Gradecak. South Korean and Taiwanese buyers also have been active, he said.
"Foreign investment in Vancouver residential real estate is showing no signs of slowing," said Gregory Klump, chief economist of the Ottawa-based Canadian Real Estate Association, in a May 9 report.
The surge of multimillion-dollar sales in Vancouver prompted the trade group to revise its forecast for national home sales. It now expects Canada home sales through the Multiple Listing Service to fall 1.3 percent in 2011 to 441,100 units, less than the 1.6 percent decline it forecast in February.
"A psychological fear"
Low interest rates inflated home prices and created a bubble, said Lawrence Wong, an immigration lawyer with many Chinese clients. (Unlike the U.S., Canada has no tax deduction for mortgage interest.)
"There is this psychological fear that 'OK, if I don't get into the market, I might not be able to get in later on," said Wong.
Chinese buyers frequently are absentee owners, wealthy businessmen who buy second or third houses for their wives and children while continuing to live in China for work, said Norman Chow, a fourth-generation Canadian engineer.
"You see a lot of these satellite families," said Chow.
He said it's not unusual to see college-age kids of wealthy Chinese parents driving Bentleys, Maseratis and Porsches around the westside. "The kids seem pretty nice," he said.
Forty-one percent of the pupils at the neighborhood's Maple Grove Elementary have English as their second language, according to the Fraser Institute.
While education for children often is the primary goal, some immigrants just want to move money out of China because they don't feel it's safe, according to one homebuyer who moved to Vancouver from Wuhan with her son two months ago and asked that her name not be used. Her husband remains in Wuhan for work.
Interest also is spreading to other parts of Vancouver. The latest hot markets are West Vancouver and the southern bedroom community of White Rock, said Raymond Wong, a local real-estate agent.
Because houses in West Vancouver are built on the mountainside with their backs to the Coast Range, they generally face south, providing views of English Bay and Burrard Inlet. This conforms to the principles of feng shui, the proper placement of features within and surrounding a house to increase wealth and deflect bad luck, said Wong.
In November, Osaka Supermarket, part of Canada's biggest grocery chain, opened its second Vancouver-area store in West Vancouver's Park Royal shopping center. Osaka offers items ranging from marinated duck wings to a full dim sum bar and Asian fruits such as mangosteens..
"Five years ago, Chinese buyers avoided West Vancouver because of the Lions Gate bridge — it just wasn't convenient," said Wong. "Now Osaka makes it much better, and Chinese people are spreading the word."
Beginning June 15, China Southern Airlines will offer Canada's first nonstop flights to China's most populous province, Guangdong, with service between Vancouver and Guangzhou, the province's capital city.
"Canada is a very attractive country these days for many reasons," said Rogers, the investor. "They've done a much better job than the U.S. has over the last 15 to 20 years."
Canada's natural resources-based economy has gained from the economic growth in China and other countries. The Canadian dollar climbed 70 percent against the U.S. dollar since 2002, reaching parity in 2007 for the first time since 1976 as rising prices for commodities such as oil and gold boosted export revenue.
Overseas homebuyers can act much more quickly on a purchase since their offers often aren't contingent on the sale of another residence, said Gradecak, the westside real-estate broker.
"It's definitely for real," Gradecak said. "How long it's going to last, that's an unknown. I get asked the same question every single day."

Meme-busting: Doctors are all leaving Canada to practice in the U.S.

I got such a great response to yesterday’s meme-busting post on tort reform and cost control that I decided to give you another.
Every time I talk about health care policy with physicians, one inevitably tells me of the doctor he or she knows who ran away from Canada to practice in the United States. Evidently, there’s a general perception that practicing in the United States is much more satisfying than in countries such as Canada.
If only that were so.
Let’s start with the underlying rationale. Satisfaction is measurable. The Commonwealth Fund measured it in its Survey of Primary Care Physicians in 11 Countries, 2009: Perspectives on Care, Costs, and Experiences:
Mail, phone, and e-mail survey of primary care physicians from February to July 2009 in Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, United Kingdom, and United States
Samples: 1,016 Australia, 1,401 Canada, 502 France, 715 Germany, 844 Italy, 614 Netherlands, 500 New Zealand, 774 Norway, 1,450 Sweden, 1,062 United Kingdom, and 1,442 United States
Here’s what they found:
 
Except for Austria and Germany, fewer doctors were satisfied practicing medicine in the United States in 2009 than in any other surveyed country. That includes Canada. And it was before health care reform, so you can’t blame any dissatisfaction on the PPACA.
 They also asked physicians what they thought about the health care system (again this was before the PPACA):

 
Except for Germany, more physicians in the United Sates felt that the system needed to be completely rebuilt than physicians in any other country.  The United States tied with Germany for last with an overwhelming 82% of physicians who thought the system needed fundamental changes or to be completely rebuilt.
 So let’s stop pretending that doctors in outer countries are miserable, and practicing in the Unites States is paradise.
 But the main outcome of interest here is doctors emigrating from Canada.  The meme is that physicians are leaving Canada in droves and moving here.  Is that true?
  No:
The Canadian Institute for Health Information has been tracking doctors' destinations only since 1992. Since then, between 60 and 70 percent of physicians who emigrate have headed south of the border. In the mid-1990s, the number leaving for the U.S. spiked at about 400 to 500 a year. However, in recent years, this number has declined, with only 169 physicians leaving for the States in 2003; 138 in 2004; and 122 in each of 2005 and 2006. These numbers represent less than half a percent of all doctors working in Canada.
 
So when emigration “spiked,” 400-500 doctors were leaving Canada for the United States.  There are more than 800,000 physicians in the U.S. right now, so I’m skeptical that every doctor knows one of those emigres. But I’d especially like you to pay attention to the yellow line, which is the net loss of doctors to Canada.
 In 2003, net emigration became net immigration. Let me say that again. More doctors were moving into Canada than were moving out.
 So there’s no part of this meme that’s true. Not only are physicians not more dissatisfied practicing in Canada than in the Unites States, but more doctors are also moving into Canada to practice than leaving.
 Aaron Carroll is a pediatrician, health services researcher, and Associate Professor of Pediatrics at Indiana University School of Medicine. He blogs at The Incidental Economist and tweets via@aaronecarroll .
By Aaron Carroll  |  08:46 AM ET, 06/03

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